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Probability | Forum profile
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Forum profile page for Probability on http://talkstats.com.
This report page is the aggregated overview from a single forum: Probability, located on the Message Board at http://talkstats.com.
This forum profile page summarizes the general forum statistics such as: Users Activity, Forum Activity, and Top Authors, which are reported in either a table or graph below for a given reporting time period.
Additional forum profile information for "Probability" on the Message Board at http://talkstats.com is also shown in the following ways:
1) Latest Active Threads
2) Hot Threads for Last Week
Warning: These statistics are generated using 'best efforts' and can experience delays and reporting errors at times. Please note that such statistics do not constitute a forum's popularity and/or exact posting volumes at any given reporting period.
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Probability Posting activity graph:
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Top authors during last week:
user's latest post:
Estimating proportion
Published (2009-12-02 21:43:00)
A processor of carrots cuts the green top off each carrot, washes the carrots, and inserts six into a package. Twenty packages are inserted in a box of shipment. To test the weight of the boxes, a few were checked. The mean weight was 20.4 pounds, the standard deviation 0.5 pounds. How many boxes must the processor sample to be 95% confident that the sample mean does not differ from the population mean by more than 0.2 pounds? 95% = .95-1 =...
user's latest post:
Binomial Question
Published (2009-12-02 20:08:00)
Quote: Originally Posted by bbrown79 a. binomial distribution right? I think i just misread the question on a. c. on wikipedia is says standard deviation = (p(1 − p)/n). so it would be (.3(1-.3)/12) = .0175 is this right? a. yes, it's a binomial distribution c. the formula you found is the variance formula. take a square root
user's latest post:
Need Help With Joint Density...
Published (2009-11-26 01:53:00)
For (a) I got to f(y1,y2) = y1 + y2 E(y1) = ∫(0)->(1)∫(0)->(1) y1*f(y1,y2) dy1 dy2 = ∫(0)->(1)∫(0)->(1) y1(y1 + y2) dy1 dy2 = ∫(0)->(1)∫(0)->(1) y1^2 + y1y2 dy1 dy2 Then Im not really sure how to integrate y1 from y1^2 + y1y2. How do you integrate this?
user's latest post:
Need Help With Joint Density...
Published (2009-11-26 10:35:00)
OK, to solve for (a) you need to find your marginal densities. For the sake of typing and for clarity, let me rewrite the problem with easier variables: let Y1 = X let Y2 = Y You don't have to do this, but I find it easier to follow because I'm used to the xy-plane. Your joint density is f(x, y) = X + Y, in the region 0 < x < 1, 0 < y < 1. The marginal density of X, fx(x) = ∫x + y dy, integrate...
user's latest post:
Almost sure convergence &...
Published (2009-11-26 09:52:00)
Quote: Originally Posted by kingwinner Let X_n be a sequence of independent random variables such that P(X_n=0)=1-1/n and P(X_n=1)=1/n Then X_n converges in probability to 0. By Borel-Cantelli's lemma, since ∞ ∑ 1/n = ∞ (diverges), n=1 X_n does NOT converge almost surely to 0. Borel Cantelli Lemma: Let A1,A2,A3,... be events. (i) if ∑P(An)<∞, then P(An io)=0 (ii) if the A's...
user's latest post:
What implications does the...
Published (2009-11-26 16:43:00)
It's the last question in my assignment. I have already worked out that the sensitivity and specificity of a test go in opposite directions depending on how you adjust your cut-off value. However, the question afterwards asks "Discuss the implications of these findings for the development of new tests." Thanks to anyone who can help. EDIT: sentificity!?? What the hell lol. I meant *specificity.
user's latest post:
Almost sure convergence &...
Published (2009-11-26 10:23:00)
Quote: Originally Posted by Martingale since P(X_n=1)=1/n by the B-C Lemma we know that [X_n=1 i.o.] if this is the case how could X_n converge almost surely to zero? By part (ii) of B-C lemma, since ∑ P(X_n=1)= ∑1/n = ∞, this implies that P(X_n=1 io)=1, but WHY does this imply that Xn does not converge almost surely to 0? I don't understand this. Does it converge almost surely to any other value? If it does...
user's latest post:
Problem with MLE with Bernoulli...
Published (2009-12-02 20:16:00)
Hi, Can any body help with the following problem: a medical practitioner is interested in measuring the success of a drug on n = 100 patients. Let Xi be the Bernoulli random variable, with Xi = 1 denoting success and Xi = 0 denoting failure. Let Y = sum of Xi ,denote the total number of successes. Assume that the success probability is constant across patients and is a random variable p which follows a Beta(10, 2) distribution 1) Obtain the...
user's latest post:
simple probability question
Published (2009-12-01 16:17:00)
Hey guys, great forum! I've got a problem: I own 3 tools, which have average time of life 4, 6 and 8 days (exponential distribution). How can I find the probability that these tools are working after 2 days?
user's latest post:
simple probability question
Published (2009-12-01 18:19:00)
use the distribution function and remember that the exponential distribution of these 3 tools is equivalent to an exponontial distribution with mean 18. .i.e 1/lambda = 18
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Latest active threads on Probability::
Started 4 days, 14 hours ago (2009-12-02 19:11:00)
by beemzet
a. since there is 0.3 prob. of suffering from flu, and 0.7 prob. of not suffering from flu, then you are getting two outcomes. guess what kind of distribution it is.
c. use the answer from part a and look it up in the wikipedia. you'll get the std formula on the right side.
Started 5 days, 15 hours ago (2009-12-01 18:17:00)
by beemzet
great question, but no idea
maybe, poisson distribution?
Started 1 week, 4 days ago (2009-11-25 23:45:00)
by spengel
OK, to find (a) you'll need to calculate the marginal densities of Y1 and Y2. You have the joint density, but you'll need the density of Y1 and the density of Y2 so you can calculate E(Y1), the expected value of Y1, and E(Y2), the expected value of Y2. Are you familiar with this?
Note, you'll also use the marginal density of Y2 to solve for your conditional distribution in part (c).
...
Started 1 week, 6 days ago (2009-11-23 21:48:00)
by vinux
Check the following link .
https://www.stat.duke.edu/courses/Sp...ec/s05wk07. pdf
see page 6
Started 1 week, 4 days ago (2009-11-25 12:45:00)
by kingwinner
2) Can someone please explain the meaning of "Y<∞"?
Is this about the difference of binomial random variables (which has an upper bound on the possible values), and Poisson (or exponential) random variables (which has no upper bound on the possible values)?
So that for binomial random variables Y, we can say that Y<∞, while for Poisson (or exponential) random variables X, we cannot say that...
Started 1 week, 4 days ago (2009-11-25 23:40:00)
by spengel
This is a Binomial Probability. With these you have a series of experiments or trials where each trial could be a success or a failure.
The probability of success P(S) in your problem is 0.90. So the probabilty of failure is P(F) = 0.10.
The probability that all three contacted have jobs is (0.90)(0.90)(0.90) = 0.729.
The probabilities are multiplied. Your book should have some ...
Started 1 week, 4 days ago (2009-11-25 14:42:00)
by spengel
OK, I'm not sure what class you have but I think this deals with Bayes' Formula and the partitioning of a sample space.
This can be best solved with a diagram. Let me see if I can explain. If you draw a rectangular box for your sample space, draw a line that splits into two parts: .55 or 55% of the sample space for P(M) = 0.55, which is the probability that the respondent is Male. The ...
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Hot threads for last week on Probability::
Started 4 days, 14 hours ago (2009-12-02 19:11:00)
by beemzet
a. since there is 0.3 prob. of suffering from flu, and 0.7 prob. of not suffering from flu, then you are getting two outcomes. guess what kind of distribution it is.
c. use the answer from part a and look it up in the wikipedia. you'll get the std formula on the right side.
Started 5 days, 15 hours ago (2009-12-01 18:17:00)
by beemzet
great question, but no idea
maybe, poisson distribution?
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